Open Joint Stock Holding Company "Yakutugol":

Antonenkov D. V., Deputy Chief Power Engineering Specialist of Neryungrinsky Open-pit Mine, Candidate of Engineering Sciences, e-mail: antonenkov@mail.ru

Far Eastern Federal University:

Solovev D. B., Assistant Professor, Candidate of Engineering Sciences

Using a rank analysis method is a prospecting direction in the forecasting of the electricity consumption. A rank analysis method is based on the steady hyperbolic H-distribution on the numerical mathematical statistics and the theory of structural and topological dynamics of rank parametric distributions. A necessary condition for applying the method on the basis of the rank H-distributions is an attachment of the system to the new type objects. Modeling of the electricity consumption on the basis of the technological and cenological properties is a new direction in the researching. This modeling is formed by professor B.I. Kudrin and proved to be positive as a general approach to the analysis of complex technical systems. There is set the belonging of the electricity consumption empiric distributions of the OJSC "Yakutugol" to the form of the stable H-distributions. This is held for the purpose of parameters` forecasting of these distributions on the basis of the extrapolation. Rank analysis allows to solve the problem of forecasting the contractual value of electricity consumption of the coal mine as an element of technological and cenological type.

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